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4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down
#13
Okay, Twice. Great question. How do I answer this such that it actually makes sense while not divulging too much of how this is done? What we have here is a 5-day trailing average on the DJIA (blue line). Then, the orange line is what the dreambot predicts will be the DJIA 5-day average, and it does this based solely on a handful of common dream words.

So, depending on how many hits each of the dream words has, the database takes those amounts and automatically calculates what 5-day DJIA average WILL BE as of tomorrow's close. The equation for this was built based on about 40 days of stats back in the Fall of 2014. I haven't tinkered at all with that original equation, and without keeping track of the lines, I diligently gathered daily closing prices for the DJIA. About a week ago, I decided to see what the correlation data was, fully expecting that the correlations would be basically zero. Boy was I wrong!

Correlation value between the predicted closes from the dreambot vs actual DJIA close is .909!! That is absolutely incredible, considering that I can still go back into the equations and fine tune it even more! 

Just the tip of the iceberg, folks, and you get a front seat ticket!
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Messages In This Thread
4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Eagle1 - 04-29-2015, 09:21 AM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Eagle1 - 04-29-2015, 10:25 AM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Eagle1 - 04-29-2015, 10:45 AM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Shadewolf - 04-29-2015, 05:03 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Nanny - 04-29-2015, 05:43 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Nanny - 04-29-2015, 01:05 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Eagle1 - 04-29-2015, 07:45 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Eagle1 - 04-29-2015, 07:56 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Nanny - 04-29-2015, 09:13 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Shadewolf - 04-30-2015, 01:51 AM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by ThePaladin - 04-29-2015, 08:33 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by Eagle1 - 04-29-2015, 08:54 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by ThePaladin - 04-29-2015, 11:22 PM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by esholars - 04-30-2015, 11:48 AM
RE: 4/29/15 Drunk Forum Time Down - by esholars - 05-05-2015, 02:30 PM

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